Schneider Electric (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 228.0

SND Stock   244.55  0.20  0.08%   
Schneider Electric's future price is the expected price of Schneider Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schneider Electric SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schneider Electric Backtesting, Schneider Electric Valuation, Schneider Electric Correlation, Schneider Electric Hype Analysis, Schneider Electric Volatility, Schneider Electric History as well as Schneider Electric Performance.
  
Please specify Schneider Electric's target price for which you would like Schneider Electric odds to be computed.

Schneider Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 228.0

The tendency of Schneider Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  228.00  in 90 days
 244.55 90 days 228.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schneider Electric to stay above  228.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Schneider Electric SE probability density function shows the probability of Schneider Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schneider Electric price to stay between  228.00  and its current price of 244.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Schneider Electric SE has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Schneider Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Schneider Electric SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Schneider Electric SE has an alpha of 0.1273, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Schneider Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schneider Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schneider Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Schneider Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
243.06244.55246.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
203.03204.52269.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
243.08244.57246.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
234.35242.93251.51
Details

Schneider Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schneider Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schneider Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schneider Electric SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schneider Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
5.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Schneider Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schneider Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schneider Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Schneider Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schneider Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schneider Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schneider Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding565.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B

Schneider Electric Technical Analysis

Schneider Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schneider Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schneider Electric SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schneider Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schneider Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Schneider Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schneider Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schneider Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schneider Electric

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schneider Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schneider Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for Schneider Stock Analysis

When running Schneider Electric's price analysis, check to measure Schneider Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Schneider Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Schneider Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Schneider Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Schneider Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Schneider Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.