Schneider National Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.01

SNDR Stock  USD 29.36  0.20  0.69%   
Schneider National's future price is the expected price of Schneider National instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schneider National performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schneider National Backtesting, Schneider National Valuation, Schneider National Correlation, Schneider National Hype Analysis, Schneider National Volatility, Schneider National History as well as Schneider National Performance.
To learn how to invest in Schneider Stock, please use our How to Invest in Schneider National guide.
  
At this time, Schneider National's Price Fair Value is relatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Schneider National's target price for which you would like Schneider National odds to be computed.

Schneider National Target Price Odds to finish over 31.01

The tendency of Schneider Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 31.01  or more in 90 days
 29.36 90 days 31.01 
about 21.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schneider National to move over $ 31.01  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.09 (This Schneider National probability density function shows the probability of Schneider Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schneider National price to stay between its current price of $ 29.36  and $ 31.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This usually implies Schneider National market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Schneider National is expected to follow. Additionally Schneider National has an alpha of 0.0432, implying that it can generate a 0.0432 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Schneider National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schneider National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schneider National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Schneider National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7329.2930.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4232.2533.81
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.6034.7338.55
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.170.18
Details

Schneider National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schneider National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schneider National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schneider National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schneider National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Schneider National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schneider National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schneider National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Schneider National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schneider Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schneider National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schneider National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding178.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments159.6 M

Schneider National Technical Analysis

Schneider National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schneider Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schneider National. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schneider Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schneider National Predictive Forecast Models

Schneider National's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schneider National's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schneider National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schneider National

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schneider National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schneider National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Additional Tools for Schneider Stock Analysis

When running Schneider National's price analysis, check to measure Schneider National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Schneider National is operating at the current time. Most of Schneider National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Schneider National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Schneider National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Schneider National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.