Sinpas Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.35

SNGYO Stock  TRY 2.90  0.11  3.65%   
Sinpas Gayrimenkul's future price is the expected price of Sinpas Gayrimenkul instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sinpas Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Sinpas Gayrimenkul Valuation, Sinpas Gayrimenkul Correlation, Sinpas Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Sinpas Gayrimenkul Volatility, Sinpas Gayrimenkul History as well as Sinpas Gayrimenkul Performance.
  
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Sinpas Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish over 10.35

The tendency of Sinpas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  10.35  or more in 90 days
 2.90 90 days 10.35 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sinpas Gayrimenkul to move over  10.35  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Sinpas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sinpas Gayrimenkul price to stay between its current price of  2.90  and  10.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sinpas Gayrimenkul has a beta of 0.32. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sinpas Gayrimenkul average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.0795, implying that it can generate a 0.0795 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sinpas Gayrimenkul Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sinpas Gayrimenkul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sinpas Gayrimenkul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.532.905.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.432.805.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.432.805.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.863.283.70
Details

Sinpas Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sinpas Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sinpas Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sinpas Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Sinpas Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sinpas Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sinpas Gayrimenkul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sinpas Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sinpas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sinpas Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sinpas Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Sinpas Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis

Sinpas Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sinpas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sinpas Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sinpas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sinpas Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models

Sinpas Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sinpas Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sinpas Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sinpas Gayrimenkul

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sinpas Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sinpas Gayrimenkul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sinpas Stock

Sinpas Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sinpas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sinpas with respect to the benefits of owning Sinpas Gayrimenkul security.