Sun Pacific Holding Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.78

SNPW Stock  USD 1.48  0.07  4.96%   
Sun Pacific's future price is the expected price of Sun Pacific instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sun Pacific Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sun Pacific Backtesting, Sun Pacific Valuation, Sun Pacific Correlation, Sun Pacific Hype Analysis, Sun Pacific Volatility, Sun Pacific History as well as Sun Pacific Performance.
  
Please specify Sun Pacific's target price for which you would like Sun Pacific odds to be computed.

Sun Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over 1.78

The tendency of Sun Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 1.78  or more in 90 days
 1.48 90 days 1.78 
about 35.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sun Pacific to move over $ 1.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 35.81 (This Sun Pacific Holding probability density function shows the probability of Sun Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sun Pacific Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 1.48  and $ 1.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.26 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sun Pacific will likely underperform. Additionally Sun Pacific Holding has an alpha of 0.2189, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sun Pacific Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sun Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sun Pacific Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.489.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.379.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.989.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.141.792.43
Details

Sun Pacific Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sun Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sun Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sun Pacific Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sun Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Sun Pacific Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sun Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sun Pacific Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sun Pacific Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sun Pacific Holding may become a speculative penny stock
Sun Pacific Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Sun Pacific Holding currently holds 35.91 K in liabilities. Sun Pacific Holding has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Sun Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sun Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sun Pacific Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sun to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sun Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Sun Pacific Holding currently holds about 239.08 K in cash with (522.75 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Sun Pacific Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sun Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sun Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding974.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments69 K

Sun Pacific Technical Analysis

Sun Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sun Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sun Pacific Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sun Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sun Pacific Predictive Forecast Models

Sun Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sun Pacific's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sun Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sun Pacific Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sun Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sun Pacific Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sun Pacific Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sun Pacific Holding may become a speculative penny stock
Sun Pacific Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Sun Pacific Holding currently holds 35.91 K in liabilities. Sun Pacific Holding has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Sun Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sun Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sun Pacific Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sun to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sun Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Sun Pacific Holding currently holds about 239.08 K in cash with (522.75 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Additional Tools for Sun Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Sun Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Sun Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sun Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Sun Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sun Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sun Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sun Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.