Sotherly Hotels Pr Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 14.43
| SOHON Preferred Stock | USD 17.03 0.33 1.90% |
Sotherly |
Sotherly Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 14.43
The tendency of Sotherly Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.43 or more in 90 days |
| 17.03 | 90 days | 14.43 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sotherly Hotels to drop to $ 14.43 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sotherly Hotels PR probability density function shows the probability of Sotherly Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sotherly Hotels PR price to stay between $ 14.43 and its current price of $17.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sotherly Hotels PR has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sotherly Hotels are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sotherly Hotels PR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sotherly Hotels PR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sotherly Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sotherly Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sotherly Hotels PR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sotherly Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sotherly Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sotherly Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sotherly Hotels PR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sotherly Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Sotherly Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sotherly Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sotherly Hotels PR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sotherly Hotels PR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sotherly Hotels PR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Sotherly Hotels PR has accumulated 377.91 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sotherly Hotels PR has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sotherly Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sotherly Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sotherly Hotels PR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sotherly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sotherly Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 127.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.69 M. |
Sotherly Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sotherly Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sotherly Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sotherly Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 389.1 M |
Sotherly Hotels Technical Analysis
Sotherly Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sotherly Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sotherly Hotels PR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sotherly Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sotherly Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Sotherly Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sotherly Hotels' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sotherly Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sotherly Hotels PR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sotherly Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sotherly Hotels PR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sotherly Hotels PR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sotherly Hotels PR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Sotherly Hotels PR has accumulated 377.91 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sotherly Hotels PR has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sotherly Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sotherly Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sotherly Hotels PR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sotherly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sotherly Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 127.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.69 M. |
Other Information on Investing in Sotherly Preferred Stock
Sotherly Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sotherly Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sotherly with respect to the benefits of owning Sotherly Hotels security.