Southern Company Series Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.80
| SOJE Stock | USD 18.42 0.23 1.23% |
Southern |
Southern Company Target Price Odds to finish below 16.80
The tendency of Southern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.80 or more in 90 days |
| 18.42 | 90 days | 16.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southern Company to drop to $ 16.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Southern Company Series probability density function shows the probability of Southern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Southern Company price to stay between $ 16.80 and its current price of $18.42 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Southern Company has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Southern Company average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Southern Company Series will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Southern Company Series has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Southern Company Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Southern Company
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southern Company Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southern Company is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southern Company's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southern Company Series, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southern Company within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.38 |
Southern Company Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Southern Company for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Southern Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Southern Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Southern Company has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Southern Company Stock Underperforming the SP 500 - MSN |
Southern Company Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Southern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Southern Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 748 M |
Southern Company Technical Analysis
Southern Company's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Southern Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Southern Company Series. In general, you should focus on analyzing Southern Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Southern Company Predictive Forecast Models
Southern Company's time-series forecasting models is one of many Southern Company's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Southern Company's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Southern Company
Checking the ongoing alerts about Southern Company for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Southern Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Southern Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Southern Company has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Southern Company Stock Underperforming the SP 500 - MSN |
Check out Southern Company Backtesting, Southern Company Valuation, Southern Company Correlation, Southern Company Hype Analysis, Southern Company Volatility, Southern Company History as well as Southern Company Performance. For information on how to trade Southern Stock refer to our How to Trade Southern Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Company. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southern Company listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Equity 0.1204 |
The market value of Southern Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southern Company's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southern Company's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southern Company's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southern Company's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Company's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Company is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern Company's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.