Satria Mega (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 212.0
| SOTS Stock | IDR 302.00 8.00 2.58% |
Satria |
Satria Mega Target Price Odds to finish below 212.0
The tendency of Satria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 212.00 or more in 90 days |
| 302.00 | 90 days | 212.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Satria Mega to drop to 212.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Satria Mega Kencana probability density function shows the probability of Satria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Satria Mega Kencana price to stay between 212.00 and its current price of 302.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.48 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Satria Mega will likely underperform. Additionally Satria Mega Kencana has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Satria Mega Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Satria Mega
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Satria Mega Kencana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Satria Mega Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Satria Mega is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Satria Mega's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Satria Mega Kencana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Satria Mega within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Satria Mega Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Satria Mega for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Satria Mega Kencana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Satria Mega Kencana had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Satria Mega Kencana has accumulated 73.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Satria Mega Kencana has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Satria Mega until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Satria Mega's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Satria Mega Kencana sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Satria to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Satria Mega's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 12.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.1 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.41 B. | |
| Satria Mega Kencana has accumulated about 13.93 B in cash with (14.42 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 13.93. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of Satria Mega outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Satria Mega Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Satria Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Satria Mega's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Satria Mega's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.5 B |
Satria Mega Technical Analysis
Satria Mega's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Satria Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Satria Mega Kencana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Satria Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Satria Mega Predictive Forecast Models
Satria Mega's time-series forecasting models is one of many Satria Mega's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Satria Mega's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Satria Mega Kencana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Satria Mega for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Satria Mega Kencana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Satria Mega Kencana had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Satria Mega Kencana has accumulated 73.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Satria Mega Kencana has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Satria Mega until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Satria Mega's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Satria Mega Kencana sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Satria to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Satria Mega's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 12.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.1 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.41 B. | |
| Satria Mega Kencana has accumulated about 13.93 B in cash with (14.42 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 13.93. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of Satria Mega outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Satria Stock
Satria Mega financial ratios help investors to determine whether Satria Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Satria with respect to the benefits of owning Satria Mega security.