Spectra7 Microsystems Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.55

SPVNF Stock  USD 0.08  0.01  12.62%   
Spectra7 Microsystems' future price is the expected price of Spectra7 Microsystems instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Spectra7 Microsystems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Spectra7 Microsystems Backtesting, Spectra7 Microsystems Valuation, Spectra7 Microsystems Correlation, Spectra7 Microsystems Hype Analysis, Spectra7 Microsystems Volatility, Spectra7 Microsystems History as well as Spectra7 Microsystems Performance.
  
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Spectra7 Microsystems Target Price Odds to finish over 0.55

The tendency of Spectra7 OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.55  or more in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 0.55 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spectra7 Microsystems to move over $ 0.55  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Spectra7 Microsystems probability density function shows the probability of Spectra7 OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Spectra7 Microsystems price to stay between its current price of $ 0.08  and $ 0.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Spectra7 Microsystems will likely underperform. Additionally Spectra7 Microsystems has an alpha of 0.38, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Spectra7 Microsystems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Spectra7 Microsystems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spectra7 Microsystems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0811.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0811.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0811.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.080.100.28
Details

Spectra7 Microsystems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spectra7 Microsystems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spectra7 Microsystems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spectra7 Microsystems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spectra7 Microsystems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Spectra7 Microsystems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spectra7 Microsystems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spectra7 Microsystems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spectra7 Microsystems had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Spectra7 Microsystems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Spectra7 Microsystems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Spectra7 Microsystems has accumulated 6.52 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 9.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Spectra7 Microsystems has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Spectra7 Microsystems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Spectra7 Microsystems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Spectra7 Microsystems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Spectra7 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Spectra7 Microsystems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 5.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 528.1 K.
Spectra7 Microsystems has accumulated about 2.57 M in cash with (10.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 15.0% of Spectra7 Microsystems outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Spectra7 Microsystems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spectra7 OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spectra7 Microsystems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spectra7 Microsystems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.1 M

Spectra7 Microsystems Technical Analysis

Spectra7 Microsystems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Spectra7 OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Spectra7 Microsystems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Spectra7 OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Spectra7 Microsystems Predictive Forecast Models

Spectra7 Microsystems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Spectra7 Microsystems' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Spectra7 Microsystems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Spectra7 Microsystems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Spectra7 Microsystems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Spectra7 Microsystems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spectra7 Microsystems had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Spectra7 Microsystems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Spectra7 Microsystems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Spectra7 Microsystems has accumulated 6.52 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 9.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Spectra7 Microsystems has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Spectra7 Microsystems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Spectra7 Microsystems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Spectra7 Microsystems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Spectra7 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Spectra7 Microsystems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 5.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 528.1 K.
Spectra7 Microsystems has accumulated about 2.57 M in cash with (10.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 15.0% of Spectra7 Microsystems outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Spectra7 OTC Stock

Spectra7 Microsystems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Spectra7 OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Spectra7 with respect to the benefits of owning Spectra7 Microsystems security.