Sunson Textile (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 108.40
| SSTM Stock | IDR 354.00 70.00 24.65% |
Sunson |
Sunson Textile Target Price Odds to finish below 108.40
The tendency of Sunson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 108.40 or more in 90 days |
| 354.00 | 90 days | 108.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunson Textile to drop to 108.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sunson Textile Manufacturer probability density function shows the probability of Sunson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sunson Textile Manuf price to stay between 108.40 and its current price of 354.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sunson Textile has a beta of 0.0792. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sunson Textile average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sunson Textile Manufacturer will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Sunson Textile Manufacturer has an alpha of 1.2017, implying that it can generate a 1.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sunson Textile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sunson Textile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunson Textile Manuf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sunson Textile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunson Textile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunson Textile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunson Textile Manufacturer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunson Textile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 29.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Sunson Textile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunson Textile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunson Textile Manuf can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sunson Textile Manuf is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sunson Textile Manuf appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Sunson Textile generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sunson Textile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sunson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sunson Textile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunson Textile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Sunson Textile Technical Analysis
Sunson Textile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sunson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sunson Textile Manufacturer. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sunson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sunson Textile Predictive Forecast Models
Sunson Textile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sunson Textile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sunson Textile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sunson Textile Manuf
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunson Textile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunson Textile Manuf help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sunson Textile Manuf is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sunson Textile Manuf appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Sunson Textile generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sunson Stock
Sunson Textile financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sunson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sunson with respect to the benefits of owning Sunson Textile security.