Ridgeworth Ceredex Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.80

STCEX Fund  USD 6.18  0.08  1.28%   
Ridgeworth Ceredex's future price is the expected price of Ridgeworth Ceredex instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ridgeworth Ceredex Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ridgeworth Ceredex Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ridgeworth Ceredex Correlation, Ridgeworth Ceredex Hype Analysis, Ridgeworth Ceredex Volatility, Ridgeworth Ceredex History as well as Ridgeworth Ceredex Performance.
  
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Ridgeworth Ceredex Target Price Odds to finish over 9.80

The tendency of Ridgeworth Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.80  or more in 90 days
 6.18 90 days 9.80 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ridgeworth Ceredex to move over $ 9.80  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ridgeworth Ceredex Small probability density function shows the probability of Ridgeworth Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ridgeworth Ceredex Small price to stay between its current price of $ 6.18  and $ 9.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ridgeworth Ceredex will likely underperform. Additionally Ridgeworth Ceredex Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ridgeworth Ceredex Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ridgeworth Ceredex

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ridgeworth Ceredex Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ridgeworth Ceredex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.026.187.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.565.726.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.956.127.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.006.206.40
Details

Ridgeworth Ceredex Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ridgeworth Ceredex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ridgeworth Ceredex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ridgeworth Ceredex Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ridgeworth Ceredex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Ridgeworth Ceredex Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ridgeworth Ceredex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ridgeworth Ceredex Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.63% of its assets in stocks

Ridgeworth Ceredex Technical Analysis

Ridgeworth Ceredex's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ridgeworth Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ridgeworth Ceredex Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ridgeworth Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ridgeworth Ceredex Predictive Forecast Models

Ridgeworth Ceredex's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ridgeworth Ceredex's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ridgeworth Ceredex's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ridgeworth Ceredex Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ridgeworth Ceredex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ridgeworth Ceredex Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.63% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Ridgeworth Mutual Fund

Ridgeworth Ceredex financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ridgeworth Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ridgeworth with respect to the benefits of owning Ridgeworth Ceredex security.
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon