Satcom Systems (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.73
| STCM Stock | ILS 75.30 0.60 0.79% |
Satcom |
Satcom Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 55.73
The tendency of Satcom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to S 55.73 or more in 90 days |
| 75.30 | 90 days | 55.73 | about 12.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Satcom Systems to drop to S 55.73 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.2 (This Satcom Systems probability density function shows the probability of Satcom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Satcom Systems price to stay between S 55.73 and its current price of S75.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Satcom Systems has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Satcom Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Satcom Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Satcom Systems has an alpha of 0.358, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Satcom Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Satcom Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Satcom Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Satcom Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Satcom Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Satcom Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Satcom Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Satcom Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Satcom Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Satcom Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Satcom Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Satcom Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Satcom Systems has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Satcom Systems has accumulated 19.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 121.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Satcom Systems has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Satcom Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Satcom Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Satcom Systems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Satcom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Satcom Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 51.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.14 M. |
Satcom Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Satcom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Satcom Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Satcom Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 55.3 M |
Satcom Systems Technical Analysis
Satcom Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Satcom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Satcom Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Satcom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Satcom Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Satcom Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Satcom Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Satcom Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Satcom Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Satcom Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Satcom Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Satcom Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Satcom Systems has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Satcom Systems has accumulated 19.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 121.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Satcom Systems has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Satcom Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Satcom Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Satcom Systems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Satcom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Satcom Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 51.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.14 M. |
Other Information on Investing in Satcom Stock
Satcom Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Satcom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Satcom with respect to the benefits of owning Satcom Systems security.