Stmicroelectronics Nv Adr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.22
| STM Stock | USD 26.32 0.22 0.83% |
Closest to current price STMicroelectronics long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
STMicroelectronics |
STMicroelectronics Target Price Odds to finish over 28.22
The tendency of STMicroelectronics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 28.22 or more in 90 days |
| 26.32 | 90 days | 28.22 | about 23.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STMicroelectronics to move over $ 28.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.79 (This STMicroelectronics NV ADR probability density function shows the probability of STMicroelectronics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STMicroelectronics NV ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 26.32 and $ 28.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.51 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon STMicroelectronics has a beta of 0.87. This usually implies STMicroelectronics NV ADR market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, STMicroelectronics is expected to follow. Additionally STMicroelectronics NV ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. STMicroelectronics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for STMicroelectronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STMicroelectronics NV ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of STMicroelectronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
STMicroelectronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STMicroelectronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STMicroelectronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STMicroelectronics NV ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STMicroelectronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
STMicroelectronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STMicroelectronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STMicroelectronics NV ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| STMicroelectronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Italy stocks lower at close of trade Italy 40 down 0.12 |
STMicroelectronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STMicroelectronics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential STMicroelectronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STMicroelectronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 944.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
STMicroelectronics Technical Analysis
STMicroelectronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STMicroelectronics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STMicroelectronics NV ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing STMicroelectronics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
STMicroelectronics Predictive Forecast Models
STMicroelectronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many STMicroelectronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STMicroelectronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about STMicroelectronics NV ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about STMicroelectronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STMicroelectronics NV ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| STMicroelectronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Italy stocks lower at close of trade Italy 40 down 0.12 |
Check out STMicroelectronics Backtesting, STMicroelectronics Valuation, STMicroelectronics Correlation, STMicroelectronics Hype Analysis, STMicroelectronics Volatility, STMicroelectronics History as well as STMicroelectronics Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of STMicroelectronics. If investors know STMicroelectronics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about STMicroelectronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 2.43 | Revenue Per Share 15.77 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) |
The market value of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of STMicroelectronics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of STMicroelectronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is STMicroelectronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because STMicroelectronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect STMicroelectronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between STMicroelectronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STMicroelectronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STMicroelectronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.