Simt Tax Managed Smallmid Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 26.46
| STMSX Fund | USD 23.14 0.15 0.65% |
Simt |
Simt Tax Target Price Odds to finish below 26.46
The tendency of Simt Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 26.46 after 90 days |
| 23.14 | 90 days | 26.46 | about 12.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Simt Tax to stay under $ 26.46 after 90 days from now is about 12.97 (This Simt Tax Managed Smallmid probability density function shows the probability of Simt Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Simt Tax Managed price to stay between its current price of $ 23.14 and $ 26.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.68 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Simt Tax will likely underperform. Additionally Simt Tax Managed Smallmid has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Simt Tax Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Simt Tax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Simt Tax Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Simt Tax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Simt Tax Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Simt Tax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Simt Tax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Simt Tax Managed Smallmid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Simt Tax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Simt Tax Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Simt Tax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Simt Tax Managed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Simt Tax Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 97.5% of its assets in stocks |
Simt Tax Technical Analysis
Simt Tax's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Simt Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Simt Tax Managed Smallmid. In general, you should focus on analyzing Simt Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Simt Tax Predictive Forecast Models
Simt Tax's time-series forecasting models is one of many Simt Tax's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Simt Tax's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Simt Tax Managed
Checking the ongoing alerts about Simt Tax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Simt Tax Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Simt Tax Managed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 97.5% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Simt Mutual Fund
Simt Tax financial ratios help investors to determine whether Simt Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Simt with respect to the benefits of owning Simt Tax security.
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