Storytel (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 64.55

STORY-B Stock  SEK 63.90  0.55  0.87%   
Storytel's future price is the expected price of Storytel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Storytel AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Storytel Backtesting, Storytel Valuation, Storytel Correlation, Storytel Hype Analysis, Storytel Volatility, Storytel History as well as Storytel Performance.
  
Please specify Storytel's target price for which you would like Storytel odds to be computed.

Storytel Target Price Odds to finish over 64.55

The tendency of Storytel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 64.55  or more in 90 days
 63.90 90 days 64.55 
about 21.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Storytel to move over kr 64.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.49 (This Storytel AB probability density function shows the probability of Storytel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Storytel AB price to stay between its current price of kr 63.90  and kr 64.55  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Storytel has a beta of 0.0301. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Storytel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Storytel AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Storytel AB has an alpha of 0.5255, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Storytel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Storytel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Storytel AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Storytel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.4763.9066.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.9445.3770.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.0867.5169.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.8463.8469.83
Details

Storytel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Storytel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Storytel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Storytel AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Storytel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
6.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Storytel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Storytel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Storytel AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 2.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (381.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 B.
Storytel AB has accumulated about 905.88 M in cash with (218.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.66.
Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Storytel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Storytel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Storytel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Storytel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments905.9 M

Storytel Technical Analysis

Storytel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Storytel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Storytel AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Storytel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Storytel Predictive Forecast Models

Storytel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Storytel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Storytel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Storytel AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Storytel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Storytel AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 2.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (381.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 B.
Storytel AB has accumulated about 905.88 M in cash with (218.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.66.
Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Storytel Stock

Storytel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Storytel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Storytel with respect to the benefits of owning Storytel security.