Sun Communities Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 129.96
| SUI Stock | USD 124.76 0.56 0.45% |
Sun |
Sun Communities Target Price Odds to finish below 129.96
The tendency of Sun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 129.96 after 90 days |
| 124.76 | 90 days | 129.96 | about 56.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sun Communities to stay under $ 129.96 after 90 days from now is about 56.84 (This Sun Communities probability density function shows the probability of Sun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sun Communities price to stay between its current price of $ 124.76 and $ 129.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.3 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Sun Communities has a beta of 0.36. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sun Communities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sun Communities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sun Communities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sun Communities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sun Communities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sun Communities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sun Communities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sun Communities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sun Communities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sun Communities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sun Communities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sun Communities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Sun Communities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sun Communities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sun Communities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sun Communities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.18 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (209.1 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.42 B. | |
| Sun Communities has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Deadline Reminder Law Offices of Howard G. ... |
Sun Communities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sun Communities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Communities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.9 M |
Sun Communities Technical Analysis
Sun Communities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sun Communities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sun Communities Predictive Forecast Models
Sun Communities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sun Communities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sun Communities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sun Communities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sun Communities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sun Communities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sun Communities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.18 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (209.1 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.42 B. | |
| Sun Communities has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Deadline Reminder Law Offices of Howard G. ... |
Check out Sun Communities Backtesting, Sun Communities Valuation, Sun Communities Correlation, Sun Communities Hype Analysis, Sun Communities Volatility, Sun Communities History as well as Sun Communities Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Sun Stock please use our How to Invest in Sun Communities guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Single-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sun Communities. If investors know Sun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sun Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.391 | Dividend Share 3.75 | Earnings Share 1.85 | Revenue Per Share 25.753 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Sun Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sun Communities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sun Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sun Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sun Communities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sun Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sun Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sun Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.