Svolder AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.05
| SVOL-B Stock | SEK 51.55 0.80 1.53% |
Svolder |
Svolder AB Target Price Odds to finish below 54.05
The tendency of Svolder Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under kr 54.05 after 90 days |
| 51.55 | 90 days | 54.05 | about 9.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Svolder AB to stay under kr 54.05 after 90 days from now is about 9.93 (This Svolder AB probability density function shows the probability of Svolder Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Svolder AB price to stay between its current price of kr 51.55 and kr 54.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Svolder AB has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Svolder AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Svolder AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Svolder AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Svolder AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Svolder AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Svolder AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Svolder AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Svolder AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Svolder AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Svolder AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Svolder AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Svolder AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Svolder AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Svolder AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Svolder AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.19 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.15 B). | |
| About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Svolder AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Svolder Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Svolder AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Svolder AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 734.1 M |
Svolder AB Technical Analysis
Svolder AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Svolder Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Svolder AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Svolder Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Svolder AB Predictive Forecast Models
Svolder AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Svolder AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Svolder AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Svolder AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Svolder AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Svolder AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Svolder AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.19 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.15 B). | |
| About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Svolder Stock
Svolder AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Svolder Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Svolder with respect to the benefits of owning Svolder AB security.