Saigon Viendong (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10,990

SVT Stock   11,450  50.00  0.44%   
Saigon Viendong's future price is the expected price of Saigon Viendong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saigon Viendong Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saigon Viendong Backtesting, Saigon Viendong Valuation, Saigon Viendong Correlation, Saigon Viendong Hype Analysis, Saigon Viendong Volatility, Saigon Viendong History as well as Saigon Viendong Performance.
  
Please specify Saigon Viendong's target price for which you would like Saigon Viendong odds to be computed.

Saigon Viendong Target Price Odds to finish below 10,990

The tendency of Saigon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 11,450 90 days 11,450 
about 44.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saigon Viendong to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 44.97 (This Saigon Viendong Technology probability density function shows the probability of Saigon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saigon Viendong has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saigon Viendong average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saigon Viendong Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saigon Viendong Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Saigon Viendong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saigon Viendong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saigon Viendong Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,44811,45011,452
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,99010,99212,595
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11,43211,43411,437
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11,30011,38311,466
Details

Saigon Viendong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saigon Viendong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saigon Viendong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saigon Viendong Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saigon Viendong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
718.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Saigon Viendong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saigon Viendong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saigon Viendong Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saigon Viendong Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Saigon Viendong Technical Analysis

Saigon Viendong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saigon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saigon Viendong Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saigon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saigon Viendong Predictive Forecast Models

Saigon Viendong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saigon Viendong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saigon Viendong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saigon Viendong Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saigon Viendong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saigon Viendong Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Saigon Viendong Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Saigon Stock

Saigon Viendong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saigon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saigon with respect to the benefits of owning Saigon Viendong security.