Swk Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.94
| SWKHL Stock | 25.29 0.25 1.00% |
SWK |
SWK Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 24.94
The tendency of SWK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 24.94 or more in 90 days |
| 25.29 | 90 days | 24.94 | about 44.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SWK Holdings to drop to 24.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.62 (This SWK Holdings probability density function shows the probability of SWK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SWK Holdings price to stay between 24.94 and its current price of 25.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SWK Holdings has a beta of 0.0489. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SWK Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SWK Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SWK Holdings has an alpha of 0.0238, implying that it can generate a 0.0238 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SWK Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SWK Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SWK Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SWK Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SWK Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SWK Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SWK Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SWK Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
SWK Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SWK Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SWK Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SWK Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fmr LLC Has 101.66 Million Stock Holdings in Stanley Black Decker, Inc. - MarketBeat |
SWK Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SWK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SWK Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SWK Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0217 | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1396 |
SWK Holdings Technical Analysis
SWK Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SWK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SWK Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing SWK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SWK Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
SWK Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many SWK Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SWK Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SWK Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about SWK Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SWK Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SWK Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fmr LLC Has 101.66 Million Stock Holdings in Stanley Black Decker, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Check out SWK Holdings Backtesting, SWK Holdings Valuation, SWK Holdings Correlation, SWK Holdings Hype Analysis, SWK Holdings Volatility, SWK Holdings History as well as SWK Holdings Performance. For more information on how to buy SWK Stock please use our How to buy in SWK Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Specialized Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SWK Holdings. If investors know SWK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SWK Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SWK Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SWK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SWK Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SWK Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SWK Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SWK Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SWK Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SWK Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SWK Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.