Synovus Financial (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 48.52

SYU1 Stock  EUR 47.20  0.80  1.67%   
Synovus Financial's future price is the expected price of Synovus Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Synovus Financial Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Synovus Financial Backtesting, Synovus Financial Valuation, Synovus Financial Correlation, Synovus Financial Hype Analysis, Synovus Financial Volatility, Synovus Financial History as well as Synovus Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Synovus Financial's target price for which you would like Synovus Financial odds to be computed.

Synovus Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 48.52

The tendency of Synovus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 48.52  after 90 days
 47.20 90 days 48.52 
about 63.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Synovus Financial to stay under € 48.52  after 90 days from now is about 63.09 (This Synovus Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Synovus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Synovus Financial Corp price to stay between its current price of € 47.20  and € 48.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.36 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Synovus Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Synovus Financial Corp has an alpha of 0.2284, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Synovus Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Synovus Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synovus Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.2448.0050.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.2050.7853.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.5747.3350.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.4851.3255.16
Details

Synovus Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Synovus Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Synovus Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Synovus Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Synovus Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.36
σ
Overall volatility
5.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Synovus Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Synovus Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Synovus Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Synovus Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Synovus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Synovus Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synovus Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding145.5 M
Short Long Term Debt603.4 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.27
Shares Float143.6 M

Synovus Financial Technical Analysis

Synovus Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Synovus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Synovus Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Synovus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Synovus Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Synovus Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Synovus Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Synovus Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Synovus Financial Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Synovus Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Synovus Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Synovus Stock

When determining whether Synovus Financial Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Synovus Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Synovus Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Synovus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Synovus Financial Backtesting, Synovus Financial Valuation, Synovus Financial Correlation, Synovus Financial Hype Analysis, Synovus Financial Volatility, Synovus Financial History as well as Synovus Financial Performance.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Synovus Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Synovus Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Synovus Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.