TAT Technologies (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8,915
| TATT Stock | ILS 9,440 77.00 0.81% |
TAT |
TAT Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 8,915
The tendency of TAT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 9,440 | 90 days | 9,440 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TAT Technologies to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This TAT Technologies probability density function shows the probability of TAT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TAT Technologies has a beta of -0.39. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TAT Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TAT Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TAT Technologies has an alpha of 0.9427, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TAT Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for TAT Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TAT Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TAT Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TAT Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TAT Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TAT Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TAT Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,068 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
TAT Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TAT Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TAT Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TAT Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 77.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.87 M. | |
| TAT Technologies has accumulated about 14.25 M in cash with (1.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.61. | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
TAT Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TAT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TAT Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TAT Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.9 M |
TAT Technologies Technical Analysis
TAT Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TAT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TAT Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing TAT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TAT Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
TAT Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many TAT Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TAT Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TAT Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about TAT Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TAT Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TAT Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 77.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.87 M. | |
| TAT Technologies has accumulated about 14.25 M in cash with (1.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.61. | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in TAT Stock
TAT Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether TAT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TAT with respect to the benefits of owning TAT Technologies security.