Tembaga Mulia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 993.63
| TBMS Stock | IDR 915.00 5.00 0.55% |
Tembaga |
Tembaga Mulia Target Price Odds to finish below 993.63
The tendency of Tembaga Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 993.63 after 90 days |
| 915.00 | 90 days | 993.63 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tembaga Mulia to stay under 993.63 after 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Tembaga Mulia Semanan probability density function shows the probability of Tembaga Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tembaga Mulia Semanan price to stay between its current price of 915.00 and 993.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tembaga Mulia Semanan has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tembaga Mulia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tembaga Mulia Semanan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tembaga Mulia Semanan has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tembaga Mulia Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Tembaga Mulia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tembaga Mulia Semanan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tembaga Mulia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tembaga Mulia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tembaga Mulia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tembaga Mulia Semanan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tembaga Mulia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 34.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Tembaga Mulia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tembaga Mulia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tembaga Mulia Semanan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tembaga Mulia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tembaga Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tembaga Mulia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tembaga Mulia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 367.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.7 M |
Tembaga Mulia Technical Analysis
Tembaga Mulia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tembaga Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tembaga Mulia Semanan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tembaga Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tembaga Mulia Predictive Forecast Models
Tembaga Mulia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tembaga Mulia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tembaga Mulia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tembaga Mulia Semanan
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tembaga Mulia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tembaga Mulia Semanan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tembaga Stock
Tembaga Mulia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tembaga Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tembaga with respect to the benefits of owning Tembaga Mulia security.