Tropical Canning (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.40

TC Stock  THB 7.10  0.25  3.40%   
Tropical Canning's future price is the expected price of Tropical Canning instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tropical Canning Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tropical Canning Backtesting, Tropical Canning Valuation, Tropical Canning Correlation, Tropical Canning Hype Analysis, Tropical Canning Volatility, Tropical Canning History as well as Tropical Canning Performance.
  
Please specify Tropical Canning's target price for which you would like Tropical Canning odds to be computed.

Tropical Canning Target Price Odds to finish below 2.40

The tendency of Tropical Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2.40  or more in 90 days
 7.10 90 days 2.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tropical Canning to drop to  2.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tropical Canning Public probability density function shows the probability of Tropical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tropical Canning Public price to stay between  2.40  and its current price of 7.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tropical Canning Public has a beta of -0.89. This usually implies Additionally Tropical Canning Public has an alpha of 0.0147, implying that it can generate a 0.0147 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tropical Canning Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tropical Canning

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tropical Canning Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.297.108.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.356.167.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.787.599.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.677.618.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tropical Canning. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tropical Canning's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tropical Canning's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tropical Canning Public.

Tropical Canning Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tropical Canning is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tropical Canning's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tropical Canning Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tropical Canning within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Tropical Canning Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tropical Canning for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tropical Canning Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tropical Canning generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tropical Canning Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tropical Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tropical Canning's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tropical Canning's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding330 M

Tropical Canning Technical Analysis

Tropical Canning's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tropical Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tropical Canning Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tropical Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tropical Canning Predictive Forecast Models

Tropical Canning's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tropical Canning's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tropical Canning's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tropical Canning Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tropical Canning for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tropical Canning Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tropical Canning generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Tropical Stock

Tropical Canning financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tropical Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tropical with respect to the benefits of owning Tropical Canning security.