Community Financial Corp Probability of Future OTC BB Equity Price Finishing Under 40.75
| TCFCDelisted Stock | USD 27.09 0.38 1.38% |
Community |
Community Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 40.75
The tendency of Community OTC BB Equity price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 40.75 after 90 days |
| 27.09 | 90 days | 40.75 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Community Financial to stay under $ 40.75 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Community Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Community OTC BB Equity to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Community Financial Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 27.09 and $ 40.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Community Financial Corp has a beta of -0.42. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Community Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Community Financial Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Community Financial Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Community Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Community Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Community Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc bb equity market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc bb equity market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Community Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Community Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Community Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Community Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Community Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Community Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Community Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Community Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Community Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Community Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Community Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Community OTC BB Equity often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Community Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Community Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 486.1 M |
Community Financial Technical Analysis
Community Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Community OTC BB Equity technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Community Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Community OTC BB Equity price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Community Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Community Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Community Financial's otc bb equity analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Community Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc bb equity market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Community Financial Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Community Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Community Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Community Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Community Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Other Consideration for investing in Community OTC BB Equity
If you are still planning to invest in Community Financial Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Community Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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