Transcontinental Realty Investors Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.20
| TCI Stock | USD 28.20 0.68 2.35% |
Transcontinental |
Transcontinental Target Price Odds to finish over 28.20
The tendency of Transcontinental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 28.20 | 90 days | 28.20 | about 47.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transcontinental to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.25 (This Transcontinental Realty Investors probability density function shows the probability of Transcontinental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This usually implies Transcontinental Realty Investors market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Transcontinental is expected to follow. Additionally Transcontinental Realty Investors has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Transcontinental Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Transcontinental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transcontinental Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Transcontinental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Transcontinental Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transcontinental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transcontinental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transcontinental Realty Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transcontinental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Transcontinental Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transcontinental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transcontinental Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Transcontinental Realty Investors has about 113.42 M in cash with (31.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.42. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Transcontinental Inc. Release of Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Results, and Conference Call |
Transcontinental Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transcontinental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transcontinental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transcontinental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 127.1 M |
Transcontinental Technical Analysis
Transcontinental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Transcontinental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Transcontinental Realty Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Transcontinental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Transcontinental Predictive Forecast Models
Transcontinental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Transcontinental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Transcontinental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Transcontinental Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Transcontinental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Transcontinental Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Transcontinental Realty Investors has about 113.42 M in cash with (31.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.42. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Transcontinental Inc. Release of Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Results, and Conference Call |
Check out Transcontinental Backtesting, Transcontinental Valuation, Transcontinental Correlation, Transcontinental Hype Analysis, Transcontinental Volatility, Transcontinental History as well as Transcontinental Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Transcontinental. If investors know Transcontinental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Transcontinental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Earnings Share 0.38 | Revenue Per Share 5.767 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Transcontinental Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Transcontinental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Transcontinental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Transcontinental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Transcontinental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Transcontinental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Transcontinental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transcontinental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transcontinental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.