Blackrock Tcp Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.47
| TCPC Stock | USD 8.56 0.08 0.93% |
BlackRock |
BlackRock TCP Target Price Odds to finish below 3.47
The tendency of BlackRock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.47 or more in 90 days |
| 8.56 | 90 days | 3.47 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BlackRock TCP to drop to $ 3.47 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BlackRock TCP Capital probability density function shows the probability of BlackRock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BlackRock TCP Capital price to stay between $ 3.47 and its current price of $8.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.97 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BlackRock TCP Capital has a beta of -0.0998. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BlackRock TCP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BlackRock TCP Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BlackRock TCP Capital has an alpha of 0.1467, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BlackRock TCP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BlackRock TCP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock TCP Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BlackRock TCP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BlackRock TCP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BlackRock TCP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BlackRock TCP Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BlackRock TCP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
BlackRock TCP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BlackRock TCP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BlackRock TCP Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BlackRock TCP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| BlackRock TCP has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. Given Average Recommendation of Reduce by Brokerages - MarketBeat |
BlackRock TCP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BlackRock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BlackRock TCP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackRock TCP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 112.2 M |
BlackRock TCP Technical Analysis
BlackRock TCP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BlackRock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BlackRock TCP Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing BlackRock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BlackRock TCP Predictive Forecast Models
BlackRock TCP's time-series forecasting models is one of many BlackRock TCP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BlackRock TCP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BlackRock TCP Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about BlackRock TCP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BlackRock TCP Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BlackRock TCP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| BlackRock TCP has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. Given Average Recommendation of Reduce by Brokerages - MarketBeat |
Check out BlackRock TCP Backtesting, BlackRock TCP Valuation, BlackRock TCP Correlation, BlackRock TCP Hype Analysis, BlackRock TCP Volatility, BlackRock TCP History as well as BlackRock TCP Performance. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock TCP. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock TCP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.139 | Dividend Share 1.36 | Earnings Share (0.55) | Revenue Per Share 3.422 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.308 |
The market value of BlackRock TCP Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock TCP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock TCP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock TCP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock TCP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock TCP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock TCP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock TCP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.