Tata Consultancy (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4019.5
| TCS Stock | 4,158 12.00 0.29% |
Tata |
Tata Consultancy Target Price Odds to finish below 4019.5
The tendency of Tata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4,020 or more in 90 days |
| 4,158 | 90 days | 4,020 | about 8.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tata Consultancy to drop to 4,020 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.08 (This Tata Consultancy Services probability density function shows the probability of Tata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tata Consultancy Services price to stay between 4,020 and its current price of 4158.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tata Consultancy has a beta of 0.62. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tata Consultancy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tata Consultancy Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tata Consultancy Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tata Consultancy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tata Consultancy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tata Consultancy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tata Consultancy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tata Consultancy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tata Consultancy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tata Consultancy Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tata Consultancy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 136.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Tata Consultancy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tata Consultancy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tata Consultancy Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tata Consultancy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tata Consultancy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: TCS sells 30 percent stake in South African arm for 28.29 crore to comply with norms - CNBCTV18 |
Tata Consultancy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tata Consultancy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tata Consultancy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 441 B |
Tata Consultancy Technical Analysis
Tata Consultancy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tata Consultancy Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tata Consultancy Predictive Forecast Models
Tata Consultancy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tata Consultancy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tata Consultancy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tata Consultancy Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tata Consultancy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tata Consultancy Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tata Consultancy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tata Consultancy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: TCS sells 30 percent stake in South African arm for 28.29 crore to comply with norms - CNBCTV18 |
Other Information on Investing in Tata Stock
Tata Consultancy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tata with respect to the benefits of owning Tata Consultancy security.