Tecsys Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 30.79
| TCYSF Stock | USD 33.28 0.08 0.24% |
Tecsys |
Tecsys Target Price Odds to finish below 30.79
The tendency of Tecsys Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 30.79 or more in 90 days |
| 33.28 | 90 days | 30.79 | about 58.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tecsys to drop to $ 30.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.43 (This Tecsys Inc probability density function shows the probability of Tecsys Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tecsys Inc price to stay between $ 30.79 and its current price of $33.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tecsys Inc has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tecsys are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tecsys Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tecsys Inc has an alpha of 0.2056, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tecsys Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Tecsys
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tecsys Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tecsys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tecsys Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tecsys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tecsys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tecsys Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tecsys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Tecsys Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tecsys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tecsys Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tecsys Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tecsys Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tecsys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tecsys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 M |
Tecsys Technical Analysis
Tecsys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tecsys Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tecsys Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tecsys Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tecsys Predictive Forecast Models
Tecsys' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tecsys' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tecsys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tecsys Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tecsys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tecsys Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tecsys Pink Sheet
Tecsys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tecsys Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tecsys with respect to the benefits of owning Tecsys security.