Tele2 AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 111.26

TEL2-A Stock  SEK 114.00  1.00  0.87%   
Tele2 AB's future price is the expected price of Tele2 AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tele2 AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tele2 AB Backtesting, Tele2 AB Valuation, Tele2 AB Correlation, Tele2 AB Hype Analysis, Tele2 AB Volatility, Tele2 AB History as well as Tele2 AB Performance.
  
Please specify Tele2 AB's target price for which you would like Tele2 AB odds to be computed.

Tele2 AB Target Price Odds to finish below 111.26

The tendency of Tele2 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 111.26  or more in 90 days
 114.00 90 days 111.26 
about 22.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tele2 AB to drop to kr 111.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.86 (This Tele2 AB probability density function shows the probability of Tele2 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tele2 AB price to stay between kr 111.26  and its current price of kr114.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tele2 AB has a beta of -0.15. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tele2 AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tele2 AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tele2 AB has an alpha of 0.0227, implying that it can generate a 0.0227 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tele2 AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tele2 AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tele2 AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.56114.00115.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.5695.00125.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
115.27116.72118.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
112.31113.60114.89
Details

Tele2 AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tele2 AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tele2 AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tele2 AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tele2 AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Tele2 AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tele2 AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tele2 AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tele2 AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Tele2 AB has accumulated 28.33 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 82.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tele2 AB has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tele2 AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tele2 AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tele2 AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tele2 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tele2 AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 92.0% of Tele2 AB shares are owned by institutional investors

Tele2 AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tele2 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tele2 AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tele2 AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding691.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments837 M

Tele2 AB Technical Analysis

Tele2 AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tele2 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tele2 AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tele2 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tele2 AB Predictive Forecast Models

Tele2 AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tele2 AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tele2 AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tele2 AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tele2 AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tele2 AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tele2 AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Tele2 AB has accumulated 28.33 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 82.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tele2 AB has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tele2 AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tele2 AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tele2 AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tele2 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tele2 AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 92.0% of Tele2 AB shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Tele2 Stock

Tele2 AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tele2 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tele2 with respect to the benefits of owning Tele2 AB security.