Temenos Group (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 87.04
| TEMN Stock | CHF 66.25 0.45 0.68% |
Temenos |
Temenos Group Target Price Odds to finish below 87.04
The tendency of Temenos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under ₣ 87.04 after 90 days |
| 66.25 | 90 days | 87.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Temenos Group to stay under ₣ 87.04 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Temenos Group AG probability density function shows the probability of Temenos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Temenos Group AG price to stay between its current price of ₣ 66.25 and ₣ 87.04 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Temenos Group AG has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Temenos Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Temenos Group AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Temenos Group AG has an alpha of 0.1361, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Temenos Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Temenos Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Temenos Group AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Temenos Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Temenos Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Temenos Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Temenos Group AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Temenos Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Temenos Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Temenos Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Temenos Group AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Temenos Group AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Temenos Group AG has accumulated 748.85 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 207.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Temenos Group AG has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Temenos Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Temenos Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Temenos Group AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Temenos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Temenos Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 61.0% of Temenos Group shares are owned by institutional investors |
Temenos Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Temenos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Temenos Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Temenos Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 146.1 M |
Temenos Group Technical Analysis
Temenos Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Temenos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Temenos Group AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Temenos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Temenos Group Predictive Forecast Models
Temenos Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Temenos Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Temenos Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Temenos Group AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Temenos Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Temenos Group AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Temenos Group AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Temenos Group AG has accumulated 748.85 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 207.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Temenos Group AG has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Temenos Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Temenos Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Temenos Group AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Temenos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Temenos Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 61.0% of Temenos Group shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Temenos Stock Analysis
When running Temenos Group's price analysis, check to measure Temenos Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Temenos Group is operating at the current time. Most of Temenos Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Temenos Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Temenos Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Temenos Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.