Europap Tezol (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.49
| TEZOL Stock | 14.39 0.06 0.42% |
Europap |
Europap Tezol Target Price Odds to finish below 14.49
The tendency of Europap Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 14.49 after 90 days |
| 14.39 | 90 days | 14.49 | about 13.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Europap Tezol to stay under 14.49 after 90 days from now is about 13.08 (This Europap Tezol Kagit probability density function shows the probability of Europap Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Europap Tezol Kagit price to stay between its current price of 14.39 and 14.49 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Europap Tezol has a beta of 0.0163. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Europap Tezol average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Europap Tezol Kagit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Europap Tezol Kagit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Europap Tezol Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Europap Tezol
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Europap Tezol Kagit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Europap Tezol Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Europap Tezol is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Europap Tezol's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Europap Tezol Kagit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Europap Tezol within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Europap Tezol Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Europap Tezol for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Europap Tezol Kagit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Europap Tezol Kagit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Europap Tezol Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Europap Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Europap Tezol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Europap Tezol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220 M |
Europap Tezol Technical Analysis
Europap Tezol's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Europap Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Europap Tezol Kagit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Europap Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Europap Tezol Predictive Forecast Models
Europap Tezol's time-series forecasting models is one of many Europap Tezol's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Europap Tezol's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Europap Tezol Kagit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Europap Tezol for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Europap Tezol Kagit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Europap Tezol Kagit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Europap Stock
Europap Tezol financial ratios help investors to determine whether Europap Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Europap with respect to the benefits of owning Europap Tezol security.