Thantawan Industry (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.03

THIP Stock  THB 29.00  0.25  0.87%   
Thantawan Industry's future price is the expected price of Thantawan Industry instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thantawan Industry Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thantawan Industry Backtesting, Thantawan Industry Valuation, Thantawan Industry Correlation, Thantawan Industry Hype Analysis, Thantawan Industry Volatility, Thantawan Industry History as well as Thantawan Industry Performance.
  
Please specify Thantawan Industry's target price for which you would like Thantawan Industry odds to be computed.

Thantawan Industry Target Price Odds to finish below 27.03

The tendency of Thantawan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  27.03  or more in 90 days
 29.00 90 days 27.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thantawan Industry to drop to  27.03  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Thantawan Industry Public probability density function shows the probability of Thantawan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thantawan Industry Public price to stay between  27.03  and its current price of 29.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thantawan Industry Public has a beta of -0.0083. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thantawan Industry are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thantawan Industry Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thantawan Industry Public has an alpha of 0.0067, implying that it can generate a 0.006741 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thantawan Industry Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thantawan Industry

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thantawan Industry Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.2529.0029.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6728.4229.17
Details

Thantawan Industry Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thantawan Industry is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thantawan Industry's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thantawan Industry Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thantawan Industry within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0083
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Thantawan Industry Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thantawan Industry for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thantawan Industry Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thantawan Industry Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thantawan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thantawan Industry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thantawan Industry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90 M

Thantawan Industry Technical Analysis

Thantawan Industry's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thantawan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thantawan Industry Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thantawan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thantawan Industry Predictive Forecast Models

Thantawan Industry's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thantawan Industry's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thantawan Industry's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thantawan Industry Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thantawan Industry for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thantawan Industry Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thantawan Stock

Thantawan Industry financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thantawan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thantawan with respect to the benefits of owning Thantawan Industry security.