Touchstone Large Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.76

TLCIX Fund  USD 19.78  0.13  0.65%   
Touchstone Large's future price is the expected price of Touchstone Large instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Touchstone Large Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Touchstone Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Touchstone Large Correlation, Touchstone Large Hype Analysis, Touchstone Large Volatility, Touchstone Large History as well as Touchstone Large Performance.
  
Please specify Touchstone Large's target price for which you would like Touchstone Large odds to be computed.

Touchstone Large Target Price Odds to finish over 19.76

The tendency of Touchstone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 19.76  in 90 days
 19.78 90 days 19.76 
about 87.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Touchstone Large to stay above $ 19.76  in 90 days from now is about 87.57 (This Touchstone Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of Touchstone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Touchstone Large Cap price to stay between $ 19.76  and its current price of $19.78 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Touchstone Large has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Touchstone Large average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Touchstone Large Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Touchstone Large Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Touchstone Large Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1517.7218.1718.6219.1819.6319.8620.320.6421.0921.6522.1Current PriceTargetTouchstone Large Mean 0.10.20.30.40.50.60.7
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Touchstone Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchstone Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0219.7820.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.1719.9320.69
Details

Touchstone Large Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Touchstone Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Touchstone Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Touchstone Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Touchstone Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0054
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Touchstone Large Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Touchstone Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Touchstone Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Touchstone Large Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 97.95% of its assets in stocks

Touchstone Large Technical Analysis

Touchstone Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Touchstone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Touchstone Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Touchstone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Touchstone Large Predictive Forecast Models

Touchstone Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Touchstone Large's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Touchstone Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Touchstone Large Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Touchstone Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Touchstone Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Touchstone Large Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 97.95% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Touchstone Mutual Fund

Touchstone Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchstone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchstone with respect to the benefits of owning Touchstone Large security.
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