Talga Group Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.3
| TLGRF Stock | USD 0.30 0.02 7.14% |
Talga |
Talga Target Price Odds to finish over 0.3
The tendency of Talga Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.30 | 90 days | 0.30 | about 31.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Talga to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.7 (This Talga Group probability density function shows the probability of Talga Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Talga Group has a beta of -0.0036. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Talga are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Talga Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Talga Group has an alpha of 0.6386, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Talga Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Talga
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talga Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Talga Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Talga is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Talga's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Talga Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Talga within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0036 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Talga Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Talga for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Talga Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Talga Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Talga Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Talga Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Talga Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 16.42 K. Net Loss for the year was (36.8 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.89 M). | |
| Talga Group has accumulated about 13.01 M in cash with (26.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. |
Talga Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Talga Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Talga's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talga's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 305 M |
Talga Technical Analysis
Talga's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Talga Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Talga Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Talga Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Talga Predictive Forecast Models
Talga's time-series forecasting models is one of many Talga's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Talga's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Talga Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Talga for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Talga Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Talga Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Talga Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Talga Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Talga Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 16.42 K. Net Loss for the year was (36.8 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.89 M). | |
| Talga Group has accumulated about 13.01 M in cash with (26.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. |
Other Information on Investing in Talga Pink Sheet
Talga financial ratios help investors to determine whether Talga Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Talga with respect to the benefits of owning Talga security.