Thai Life (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.71
| TLI Stock | 10.70 0.10 0.93% |
Thai |
Thai Life Target Price Odds to finish below 10.71
The tendency of Thai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 10.71 after 90 days |
| 10.70 | 90 days | 10.71 | about 62.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai Life to stay under 10.71 after 90 days from now is about 62.1 (This Thai Life Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Thai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai Life Insurance price to stay between its current price of 10.70 and 10.71 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Thai Life will likely underperform. Additionally Thai Life Insurance has an alpha of 0.2124, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Thai Life Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thai Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Life Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thai Life Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai Life Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Thai Life Technical Analysis
Thai Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai Life Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thai Life Predictive Forecast Models
Thai Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai Life's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Thai Life in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Thai Life's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Thai Life options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock
Thai Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Life security.