Talon Metals Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.09
| TLO Stock | CAD 0.09 0.01 10.00% |
Talon |
Talon Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.09
The tendency of Talon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.09 | 90 days | 0.09 | about 36.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Talon Metals to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 36.71 (This Talon Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Talon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Talon Metals Corp has a beta of -0.29. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Talon Metals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Talon Metals Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Talon Metals Corp has an alpha of 0.0988, implying that it can generate a 0.0988 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Talon Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Talon Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talon Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Talon Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Talon Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Talon Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Talon Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Talon Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Talon Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Talon Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Talon Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Talon Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Talon Metals Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Talon Metals Corp has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Talon Metals Corp has accumulated 5.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 502.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Talon Metals Corp has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Talon Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Talon Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Talon Metals Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Talon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Talon Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Talon Metals Corp has accumulated about 14.99 M in cash with (1.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of Talon Metals outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stifel Canada Lowers Earnings Estimates for Talon Metals - MarketBeat |
Talon Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Talon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Talon Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talon Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 867.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 754.9 M |
Talon Metals Technical Analysis
Talon Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Talon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Talon Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Talon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Talon Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Talon Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Talon Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Talon Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Talon Metals Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Talon Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Talon Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Talon Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Talon Metals Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Talon Metals Corp has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Talon Metals Corp has accumulated 5.79 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 502.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Talon Metals Corp has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Talon Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Talon Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Talon Metals Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Talon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Talon Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Talon Metals Corp has accumulated about 14.99 M in cash with (1.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of Talon Metals outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stifel Canada Lowers Earnings Estimates for Talon Metals - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Talon Stock
Talon Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Talon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Talon with respect to the benefits of owning Talon Metals security.