Touchstone Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 58.23

TMCTX Fund  USD 54.07  0.10  0.19%   
Touchstone Mid's future price is the expected price of Touchstone Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Touchstone Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Touchstone Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Touchstone Mid Correlation, Touchstone Mid Hype Analysis, Touchstone Mid Volatility, Touchstone Mid History as well as Touchstone Mid Performance.
  
Please specify Touchstone Mid's target price for which you would like Touchstone Mid odds to be computed.

Touchstone Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 58.23

The tendency of Touchstone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 58.23  or more in 90 days
 54.07 90 days 58.23 
about 12.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Touchstone Mid to move over $ 58.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.14 (This Touchstone Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Touchstone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Touchstone Mid Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 54.07  and $ 58.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Touchstone Mid has a beta of 0.2. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Touchstone Mid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Touchstone Mid Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Touchstone Mid Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Touchstone Mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Touchstone Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchstone Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Touchstone Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.1354.0755.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.7154.6555.59
Details

Touchstone Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Touchstone Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Touchstone Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Touchstone Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Touchstone Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Touchstone Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Touchstone Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Touchstone Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Touchstone Mid Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 98.78% of its assets in stocks

Touchstone Mid Technical Analysis

Touchstone Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Touchstone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Touchstone Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Touchstone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Touchstone Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Touchstone Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Touchstone Mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Touchstone Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Touchstone Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Touchstone Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Touchstone Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Touchstone Mid Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 98.78% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Touchstone Mutual Fund

Touchstone Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchstone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchstone with respect to the benefits of owning Touchstone Mid security.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing