Thai Metal (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 153.44
| TMD Stock | THB 24.50 0.10 0.41% |
Thai |
Thai Metal Target Price Odds to finish over 153.44
The tendency of Thai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 153.44 or more in 90 days |
| 24.50 | 90 days | 153.44 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai Metal to move over 153.44 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Thai Metal Drum probability density function shows the probability of Thai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai Metal Drum price to stay between its current price of 24.50 and 153.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thai Metal Drum has a beta of -0.0225. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thai Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thai Metal Drum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thai Metal Drum has an alpha of 0.014, implying that it can generate a 0.014 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Thai Metal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thai Metal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Metal Drum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thai Metal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai Metal Drum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Thai Metal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thai Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thai Metal Drum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Thai Metal Drum is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Thai Metal Drum appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Thai Metal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thai Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150 M |
Thai Metal Technical Analysis
Thai Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai Metal Drum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thai Metal Predictive Forecast Models
Thai Metal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai Metal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thai Metal Drum
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thai Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thai Metal Drum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Thai Metal Drum is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Thai Metal Drum appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock
Thai Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Metal security.