Tatry Mountain (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 522.17

TMR Stock  CZK 520.00  15.00  2.80%   
Tatry Mountain's future price is the expected price of Tatry Mountain instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tatry Mountain Resorts performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tatry Mountain Backtesting, Tatry Mountain Valuation, Tatry Mountain Correlation, Tatry Mountain Hype Analysis, Tatry Mountain Volatility, Tatry Mountain History as well as Tatry Mountain Performance.
  
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Tatry Mountain Target Price Odds to finish over 522.17

The tendency of Tatry Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  522.17  or more in 90 days
 520.00 90 days 522.17 
about 85.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tatry Mountain to move over  522.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.72 (This Tatry Mountain Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Tatry Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tatry Mountain Resorts price to stay between its current price of  520.00  and  522.17  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tatry Mountain Resorts has a beta of -0.0676. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tatry Mountain are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tatry Mountain Resorts is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tatry Mountain Resorts has an alpha of 0.0486, implying that it can generate a 0.0486 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tatry Mountain Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tatry Mountain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tatry Mountain Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
517.83520.00522.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
446.18448.35572.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
533.18535.35537.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
501.01521.07541.14
Details

Tatry Mountain Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tatry Mountain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tatry Mountain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tatry Mountain Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tatry Mountain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
22.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Tatry Mountain Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tatry Mountain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tatry Mountain Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tatry Mountain generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tatry Mountain Resorts has accumulated 423.03 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tatry Mountain Resorts has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tatry Mountain until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tatry Mountain's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tatry Mountain Resorts sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tatry to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tatry Mountain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 117.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (62.77 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (626 K).
About 85.0% of Tatry Mountain outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tatry Mountain Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tatry Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tatry Mountain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tatry Mountain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares FloatM

Tatry Mountain Technical Analysis

Tatry Mountain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tatry Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tatry Mountain Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tatry Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tatry Mountain Predictive Forecast Models

Tatry Mountain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tatry Mountain's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tatry Mountain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tatry Mountain Resorts

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tatry Mountain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tatry Mountain Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tatry Mountain generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tatry Mountain Resorts has accumulated 423.03 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.56, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tatry Mountain Resorts has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tatry Mountain until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tatry Mountain's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tatry Mountain Resorts sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tatry to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tatry Mountain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 117.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (62.77 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (626 K).
About 85.0% of Tatry Mountain outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Tatry Stock Analysis

When running Tatry Mountain's price analysis, check to measure Tatry Mountain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tatry Mountain is operating at the current time. Most of Tatry Mountain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tatry Mountain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tatry Mountain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tatry Mountain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.