1290 Smartbeta Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.95

TNBAX Fund  USD 19.12  0.83  4.16%   
1290 Smartbeta's future price is the expected price of 1290 Smartbeta instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 1290 Smartbeta Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 1290 Smartbeta Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 1290 Smartbeta Correlation, 1290 Smartbeta Hype Analysis, 1290 Smartbeta Volatility, 1290 Smartbeta History as well as 1290 Smartbeta Performance.
  
Please specify 1290 Smartbeta's target price for which you would like 1290 Smartbeta odds to be computed.

1290 Smartbeta Target Price Odds to finish over 19.95

The tendency of 1290 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 19.95  or more in 90 days
 19.12 90 days 19.95 
about 11.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1290 Smartbeta to move over $ 19.95  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.51 (This 1290 Smartbeta Equity probability density function shows the probability of 1290 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1290 Smartbeta Equity price to stay between its current price of $ 19.12  and $ 19.95  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon 1290 Smartbeta has a beta of 0.47. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 1290 Smartbeta average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 1290 Smartbeta Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 1290 Smartbeta Equity has an alpha of 0.0076, implying that it can generate a 0.007645 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   1290 Smartbeta Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 1290 Smartbeta

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1290 Smartbeta Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.4619.9520.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.3919.8820.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.3719.8620.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.2319.7120.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1290 Smartbeta. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1290 Smartbeta's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1290 Smartbeta's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1290 Smartbeta Equity.

1290 Smartbeta Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1290 Smartbeta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1290 Smartbeta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1290 Smartbeta Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1290 Smartbeta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

1290 Smartbeta Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1290 Smartbeta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1290 Smartbeta Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1290 Smartbeta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 97.96% of its assets in stocks

1290 Smartbeta Technical Analysis

1290 Smartbeta's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1290 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1290 Smartbeta Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1290 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

1290 Smartbeta Predictive Forecast Models

1290 Smartbeta's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1290 Smartbeta's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1290 Smartbeta's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 1290 Smartbeta Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about 1290 Smartbeta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1290 Smartbeta Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1290 Smartbeta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 97.96% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in 1290 Mutual Fund

1290 Smartbeta financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1290 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1290 with respect to the benefits of owning 1290 Smartbeta security.
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