Thai Nakarin (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.95

TNH Stock  THB 37.00  0.75  1.99%   
Thai Nakarin's future price is the expected price of Thai Nakarin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thai Nakarin Hospital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thai Nakarin Backtesting, Thai Nakarin Valuation, Thai Nakarin Correlation, Thai Nakarin Hype Analysis, Thai Nakarin Volatility, Thai Nakarin History as well as Thai Nakarin Performance.
  
Please specify Thai Nakarin's target price for which you would like Thai Nakarin odds to be computed.

Thai Nakarin Target Price Odds to finish over 36.95

The tendency of Thai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  36.95  in 90 days
 37.00 90 days 36.95 
about 6.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai Nakarin to stay above  36.95  in 90 days from now is about 6.41 (This Thai Nakarin Hospital probability density function shows the probability of Thai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai Nakarin Hospital price to stay between  36.95  and its current price of 37.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thai Nakarin Hospital has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thai Nakarin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thai Nakarin Hospital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thai Nakarin Hospital has an alpha of 0.1144, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thai Nakarin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thai Nakarin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Nakarin Hospital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.1337.7538.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.6936.3141.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.2937.9138.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.3436.8738.39
Details

Thai Nakarin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai Nakarin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai Nakarin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai Nakarin Hospital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai Nakarin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.0059

Thai Nakarin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thai Nakarin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thai Nakarin Hospital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thai Nakarin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thai Nakarin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai Nakarin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180 M

Thai Nakarin Technical Analysis

Thai Nakarin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai Nakarin Hospital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thai Nakarin Predictive Forecast Models

Thai Nakarin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai Nakarin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai Nakarin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thai Nakarin Hospital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thai Nakarin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thai Nakarin Hospital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai Nakarin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Nakarin security.