1290 Gamco Smallmid Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.18
| TNVCX Fund | USD 18.17 0.00 0.00% |
1290 |
1290 Gamco Target Price Odds to finish below 16.18
The tendency of 1290 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.18 or more in 90 days |
| 18.17 | 90 days | 16.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1290 Gamco to drop to $ 16.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This 1290 Gamco Smallmid probability density function shows the probability of 1290 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1290 Gamco Smallmid price to stay between $ 16.18 and its current price of $18.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon 1290 Gamco Smallmid has a beta of -0.0725. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 1290 Gamco are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 1290 Gamco Smallmid is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 1290 Gamco Smallmid has an alpha of 0.1017, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 1290 Gamco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 1290 Gamco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1290 Gamco Smallmid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1290 Gamco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
1290 Gamco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1290 Gamco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1290 Gamco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1290 Gamco Smallmid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1290 Gamco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
1290 Gamco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1290 Gamco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1290 Gamco Smallmid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.1290 Gamco Technical Analysis
1290 Gamco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1290 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1290 Gamco Smallmid. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1290 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
1290 Gamco Predictive Forecast Models
1290 Gamco's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1290 Gamco's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1290 Gamco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 1290 Gamco Smallmid
Checking the ongoing alerts about 1290 Gamco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1290 Gamco Smallmid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in 1290 Mutual Fund
1290 Gamco financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1290 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1290 with respect to the benefits of owning 1290 Gamco security.
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