Towpath Focus Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.88
| TOWFX Fund | USD 15.94 0.08 0.50% |
Towpath |
Towpath Focus Target Price Odds to finish below 15.88
The tendency of Towpath Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.88 or more in 90 days |
| 15.94 | 90 days | 15.88 | about 81.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Towpath Focus to drop to $ 15.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.22 (This Towpath Focus probability density function shows the probability of Towpath Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Towpath Focus price to stay between $ 15.88 and its current price of $15.94 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Towpath Focus has a beta of 0.51. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Towpath Focus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Towpath Focus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Towpath Focus has an alpha of 0.0235, implying that it can generate a 0.0235 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Towpath Focus Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Towpath Focus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Towpath Focus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Towpath Focus Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Towpath Focus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Towpath Focus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Towpath Focus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Towpath Focus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Towpath Focus Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Towpath Focus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Towpath Focus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: FPA Queen Road Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund maintains about 16.18% of its assets in cash |
Towpath Focus Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Towpath Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Towpath Focus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Towpath Focus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Towpath Focus Technical Analysis
Towpath Focus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Towpath Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Towpath Focus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Towpath Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Towpath Focus Predictive Forecast Models
Towpath Focus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Towpath Focus' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Towpath Focus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Towpath Focus
Checking the ongoing alerts about Towpath Focus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Towpath Focus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FPA Queen Road Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha | |
| The fund maintains about 16.18% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Towpath Mutual Fund
Towpath Focus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Towpath Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Towpath with respect to the benefits of owning Towpath Focus security.
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