Trellidor Holdings (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 184.0

TRL Stock   166.00  1.00  0.60%   
Trellidor Holdings' future price is the expected price of Trellidor Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Trellidor Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trellidor Holdings Backtesting, Trellidor Holdings Valuation, Trellidor Holdings Correlation, Trellidor Holdings Hype Analysis, Trellidor Holdings Volatility, Trellidor Holdings History as well as Trellidor Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify Trellidor Holdings' target price for which you would like Trellidor Holdings odds to be computed.

Trellidor Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 184.0

The tendency of Trellidor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  184.00  or more in 90 days
 166.00 90 days 184.00 
about 54.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trellidor Holdings to move over  184.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 54.1 (This Trellidor Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Trellidor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trellidor Holdings price to stay between its current price of  166.00  and  184.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trellidor Holdings has a beta of 0.5. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trellidor Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trellidor Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trellidor Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trellidor Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trellidor Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trellidor Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
163.57166.00168.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
141.99144.42182.60
Details

Trellidor Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trellidor Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trellidor Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trellidor Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trellidor Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
13.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Trellidor Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trellidor Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trellidor Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trellidor Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Trellidor Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trellidor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trellidor Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trellidor Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding97.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.5 M

Trellidor Holdings Technical Analysis

Trellidor Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trellidor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trellidor Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trellidor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Trellidor Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Trellidor Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Trellidor Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trellidor Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Trellidor Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trellidor Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trellidor Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trellidor Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Trellidor Stock

Trellidor Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trellidor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trellidor with respect to the benefits of owning Trellidor Holdings security.