Tpg Re Finance Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.57
| TRTX Stock | USD 9.20 0.02 0.22% |
TPG |
TPG RE Target Price Odds to finish below 7.57
The tendency of TPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.57 or more in 90 days |
| 9.20 | 90 days | 7.57 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TPG RE to drop to $ 7.57 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TPG RE Finance probability density function shows the probability of TPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TPG RE Finance price to stay between $ 7.57 and its current price of $9.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days TPG RE Finance has a beta of -0.27. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TPG RE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TPG RE Finance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TPG RE Finance has an alpha of 0.1273, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TPG RE Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for TPG RE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TPG RE Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TPG RE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TPG RE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TPG RE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TPG RE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TPG RE Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TPG RE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
TPG RE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TPG RE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TPG RE Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TPG RE Finance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (116.63 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.03 M). | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 25th of October 2024 TPG RE paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Given Average Rating of Moderate Buy by Brokerages - MarketBeat |
TPG RE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TPG RE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPG RE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 206.4 M |
TPG RE Technical Analysis
TPG RE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TPG RE Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing TPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TPG RE Predictive Forecast Models
TPG RE's time-series forecasting models is one of many TPG RE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TPG RE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TPG RE Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about TPG RE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TPG RE Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TPG RE Finance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (116.63 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.03 M). | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 25th of October 2024 TPG RE paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Given Average Rating of Moderate Buy by Brokerages - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for TPG Stock Analysis
When running TPG RE's price analysis, check to measure TPG RE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TPG RE is operating at the current time. Most of TPG RE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TPG RE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TPG RE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TPG RE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.