Catalystmap Global Balanced Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.36
| TRXCX Fund | USD 11.53 0.02 0.17% |
Catalyst/map |
Catalyst/map Global Target Price Odds to finish over 12.36
The tendency of Catalyst/map Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.36 or more in 90 days |
| 11.53 | 90 days | 12.36 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalyst/map Global to move over $ 12.36 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Catalystmap Global Balanced probability density function shows the probability of Catalyst/map Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalyst/map Global price to stay between its current price of $ 11.53 and $ 12.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalyst/map Global has a beta of 0.18. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Catalyst/map Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catalystmap Global Balanced will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catalystmap Global Balanced has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Catalyst/map Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Catalyst/map Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalyst/map Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Catalyst/map Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Catalyst/map Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalyst/map Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalyst/map Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalystmap Global Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalyst/map Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.51 |
Catalyst/map Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalyst/map Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalyst/map Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 5.4% of its assets in cash |
Catalyst/map Global Technical Analysis
Catalyst/map Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalyst/map Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalystmap Global Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalyst/map Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Catalyst/map Global Predictive Forecast Models
Catalyst/map Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalyst/map Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalyst/map Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Catalyst/map Global
Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalyst/map Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalyst/map Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 5.4% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Catalyst/map Mutual Fund
Catalyst/map Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst/map Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst/map with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst/map Global security.
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