Thai Vegetable (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.57

TVO Stock  THB 23.00  0.30  1.32%   
Thai Vegetable's future price is the expected price of Thai Vegetable instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thai Vegetable Oil performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thai Vegetable Backtesting, Thai Vegetable Valuation, Thai Vegetable Correlation, Thai Vegetable Hype Analysis, Thai Vegetable Volatility, Thai Vegetable History as well as Thai Vegetable Performance.
  
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Thai Vegetable Target Price Odds to finish over 22.57

The tendency of Thai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  22.57  in 90 days
 23.00 90 days 22.57 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai Vegetable to stay above  22.57  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Thai Vegetable Oil probability density function shows the probability of Thai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai Vegetable Oil price to stay between  22.57  and its current price of 23.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thai Vegetable has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thai Vegetable average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thai Vegetable Oil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thai Vegetable Oil has an alpha of 0.0079, implying that it can generate a 0.007947 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thai Vegetable Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thai Vegetable

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai Vegetable Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6022.7023.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2423.3424.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.9723.0724.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.4022.8723.34
Details

Thai Vegetable Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai Vegetable is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai Vegetable's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai Vegetable Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai Vegetable within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Thai Vegetable Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thai Vegetable for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thai Vegetable Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thai Vegetable Oil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thai Vegetable Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thai Vegetable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai Vegetable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding808.6 M

Thai Vegetable Technical Analysis

Thai Vegetable's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai Vegetable Oil. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thai Vegetable Predictive Forecast Models

Thai Vegetable's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai Vegetable's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai Vegetable's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thai Vegetable Oil

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thai Vegetable for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thai Vegetable Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thai Vegetable Oil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai Vegetable financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai Vegetable security.