Two Harbors Investments Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.81
| TWO Stock | USD 11.74 0.06 0.51% |
Two |
Two Harbors Target Price Odds to finish below 11.81
The tendency of Two Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 11.81 after 90 days |
| 11.74 | 90 days | 11.81 | about 26.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Two Harbors to stay under $ 11.81 after 90 days from now is about 26.73 (This Two Harbors Investments probability density function shows the probability of Two Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Two Harbors Investments price to stay between its current price of $ 11.74 and $ 11.81 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Two Harbors has a beta of 0.2. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Two Harbors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Two Harbors Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Two Harbors Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Two Harbors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Two Harbors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Two Harbors Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Two Harbors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Two Harbors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Two Harbors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Two Harbors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Two Harbors Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Two Harbors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Two Harbors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Two Harbors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Two Harbors Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Two Harbors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Two Harbors has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Two Harbors Investments has 1.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.57, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Two Harbors Investments has a current ratio of 0.2, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Two to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (106.37 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (15.43 M). | |
| About 68.0% of Two Harbors shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Two Harbors Investment Corp. to Issue 0.45 Quarterly Dividend |
Two Harbors Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Two Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Two Harbors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Two Harbors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 794.8 M |
Two Harbors Technical Analysis
Two Harbors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Two Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Two Harbors Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Two Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Two Harbors Predictive Forecast Models
Two Harbors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Two Harbors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Two Harbors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Two Harbors Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Two Harbors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Two Harbors Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Two Harbors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Two Harbors has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Two Harbors Investments has 1.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.57, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Two Harbors Investments has a current ratio of 0.2, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Two to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (106.37 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (15.43 M). | |
| About 68.0% of Two Harbors shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Two Harbors Investment Corp. to Issue 0.45 Quarterly Dividend |
Check out Two Harbors Backtesting, Two Harbors Valuation, Two Harbors Correlation, Two Harbors Hype Analysis, Two Harbors Volatility, Two Harbors History as well as Two Harbors Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Two Harbors. If investors know Two will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Two Harbors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Dividend Share 1.8 | Earnings Share (4.80) | Revenue Per Share 1.171 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.43) |
The market value of Two Harbors Investments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Two that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Two Harbors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Two Harbors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Two Harbors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Two Harbors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Two Harbors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Two Harbors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Two Harbors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.