Tri Continental Closed Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.42
| TY Stock | USD 32.04 0.10 0.31% |
Tri |
Tri Continental Target Price Odds to finish below 31.42
The tendency of Tri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.42 or more in 90 days |
| 32.04 | 90 days | 31.42 | about 1.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tri Continental to drop to $ 31.42 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.83 (This Tri Continental Closed probability density function shows the probability of Tri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tri Continental Closed price to stay between $ 31.42 and its current price of $32.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.27 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Tri Continental has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tri Continental average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tri Continental Closed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tri Continental Closed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tri Continental Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Tri Continental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tri Continental Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tri Continental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tri Continental Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tri Continental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tri Continental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tri Continental Closed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tri Continental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Tri Continental Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tri Continental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tri Continental Closed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tri Continental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: So tiny, so cute, so odd Why this gingerbread Ty toy is selling out of stores |
Tri Continental Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tri Continental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tri Continental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.9 M |
Tri Continental Technical Analysis
Tri Continental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tri Continental Closed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tri Continental Predictive Forecast Models
Tri Continental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tri Continental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tri Continental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tri Continental Closed
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tri Continental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tri Continental Closed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tri Continental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: So tiny, so cute, so odd Why this gingerbread Ty toy is selling out of stores |
Additional Tools for Tri Stock Analysis
When running Tri Continental's price analysis, check to measure Tri Continental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tri Continental is operating at the current time. Most of Tri Continental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tri Continental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tri Continental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tri Continental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.