United Bancshares Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 20.40

UBOHDelisted Stock  USD 20.40  0.00  0.00%   
United Bancshares' future price is the expected price of United Bancshares instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Bancshares performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
  
Please specify United Bancshares' target price for which you would like United Bancshares odds to be computed.

United Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish below 20.40

The tendency of United OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 20.40 90 days 20.40 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Bancshares to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This United Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of United OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Bancshares has a beta of -0.19. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding United Bancshares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, United Bancshares is likely to outperform the market. Additionally United Bancshares has an alpha of 0.2522, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   United Bancshares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4020.4020.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8716.8722.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.2220.2220.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.7020.0020.30
Details

United Bancshares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

United Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Bancshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Bancshares is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
United Bancshares has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

United Bancshares Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.2 M

United Bancshares Technical Analysis

United Bancshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing United OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Bancshares Predictive Forecast Models

United Bancshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many United Bancshares' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Bancshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Bancshares

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Bancshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Bancshares is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
United Bancshares has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in United OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in United Bancshares check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the United Bancshares' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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