Ucommune International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.008073
| UKOMW Stock | USD 0.01 0 33.33% |
Ucommune |
Ucommune International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.008073
The tendency of Ucommune Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 17.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ucommune International to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.31 (This Ucommune International probability density function shows the probability of Ucommune Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ucommune International price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ucommune International has a beta of -0.27. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ucommune International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ucommune International is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Ucommune International has an alpha of 2.3291, implying that it can generate a 2.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ucommune International Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ucommune International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ucommune International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ucommune International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ucommune International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ucommune International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ucommune International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ucommune International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Ucommune International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ucommune International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ucommune International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ucommune International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ucommune International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ucommune International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ucommune International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ucommune International has accumulated 147.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ucommune International has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Ucommune International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 459.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Ucommune International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ucommune Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ucommune International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ucommune International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 540.8 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.4 M |
Ucommune International Technical Analysis
Ucommune International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ucommune Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ucommune International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ucommune Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ucommune International Predictive Forecast Models
Ucommune International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ucommune International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ucommune International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ucommune International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ucommune International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ucommune International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ucommune International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ucommune International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ucommune International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ucommune International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ucommune International has accumulated 147.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ucommune International has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Ucommune International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 459.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Additional Tools for Ucommune Stock Analysis
When running Ucommune International's price analysis, check to measure Ucommune International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ucommune International is operating at the current time. Most of Ucommune International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ucommune International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ucommune International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ucommune International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.